Analytical reviews of the Forex market

15.08.2025 10:08

Weekly Summary: Trade Truce with China, Win over Inflation, and Alaska Summit

S&P 500 broad market index futures rose 1.2% to 6,481 points this week, breaking out of the previously expected correction scenario toward 6,030–6,130 and reversing into a bullish technical pattern that has already met its primary upside target of 6,400–6,500 points. The main driver was an inflation surprise, as U.S. consumer prices remained unchanged at 2.7% YoY in July, below the 2.8% forecast, which inspired markets despite a rise in core CPI to 3.1% YoY from 2.9%. The S&P 500 surged 1.2% to 6,446 in a single session, marking a new all-time high.

13.08.2025 09:08

Crypto Week: 401k in Crypto, Bessent Sees Half-Point Rates Cut, ETH Is Going for $5,000

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up just 0.58% this week to $119,310 despite an exceptionally positive news backdrop, holding above the key $117,000 support and appearing poised to resume its upward move. Positive developments have been arriving in rapid succession. A breakthrough in the Ukraine conflict is in sight, with U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin agreeing to meet in Alaska on August 15. The U.S. administration has struck a deal with Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD to resume chip exports to China in exchange for surrendering 15% of related revenue, removing major hurdles in U.

11.08.2025 11:08

Weekly Focus: U.S.-China Trade Talks, Inflation and Trump-Putin Summit

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 futures are holding steady around the 6,400 level this week, with the benchmark caught between the potential for a standard correction toward 6,030–6,130 and the possibility of a renewed upside reversal. The pivotal zone is in the 6,410–6,420 range. Last week, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) recorded net outflows of $11.3 billion, a bearish indicator suggesting that institutional investors may be preparing for a correction rather than anticipating a rally. This move could be triggered by uncertainty over U.S.

08.08.2025 10:08

Weekly Summary: Ukrainian Breakthrough, Fed Turns More Republican

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 broad market index rose by 1.8% to 6,356 points this week, slightly retreating from Thursday’s high of 6,401. However, this rebound is not enough to invalidate the technical correction scenario toward the 6,030–6,130 range. Large investors appear to be positioning for further downside. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) recorded net outflows of $10.4 billion this week, an unusually high figure for the summer that signals a deeper seasonal correction may be underway. Historical performance data supports this view.

06.08.2025 09:08

Crypto Week: New Tariffs for China Soon, ETF Outflows and Alarming Google Trends Signal

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.1% to $114,170 this week, dropping below its primary upside target range of $117,000–$127,000, a signal of weakness at a critical moment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell took an aggressively hawkish stance last week, signalling expectations of rising inflation and no readiness to cut interest rates. However, this view was soon undermined by a weak July U.S. labour market report, which sent the S&P 500 benchmark down 2.9% to 6,211 points and dragged BTC along with it.

04.08.2025 11:08

Weekly Focus: Fed Reshuffling, PMIs and Deadline for Ceasefire in Ukraine

Lysakov Sergey

S&P 500 broad market index futures rose by 0.5% to 6,268 points on Monday, following a sharp 3.4% single-day correction from the all-time high of 6,436 points set on Friday. The market now appears to be in a holding pattern, with traders weighing the odds of either a quick rebound or a deeper pullback. The primary downside target remains in the 6,030–6,130 zone, which is a standard 5.0% correction from the top. However, such a move increases the risk of further weakness toward the extreme bearish target of 5,670–5,770 points, a total decline of 11.0%.

01.08.2025 11:08

Weekly Summary: Nonfarm Payrolls and S&P500 Possible Correction

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 futures dropped by 1.7% to 6,281 points this week, with the sell-off gaining momentum after the index approached its extreme target of 6,450 points, peaking at 6,436 before reversing sharply. A fragile equilibrium held until Thursday, initially supported by optimism over the U.S.–EU trade deal. However, this was soon overshadowed by fruitless negotiations between Washington and Beijing. The U.S. demanded China halt purchases of Russian oil after the August 8 deadline, a request Beijing flatly rejected. Talks have since stalled.

30.07.2025 09:07

Crypto Week: U.S.-China Trade Disputes, SEC Hit the Brakes, Fed and Big Tech Reporting Ahead

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.0% to $118,097 this week, yet it remains within its primary target range of $117,000–$127,000. The market now appears to be in a holding pattern, awaiting the next major move. On the surface, most trade barriers seem to have been cleared with recent trade deals made between the U.S., Japan, and the EU. However, U.S.-China tensions have resurfaced following negotiations in Stockholm that failed to produce the expected 90-day trade truce. The U.S.

28.07.2025 10:07

Weekly Focus: U.S.-EU Trade Deal, Fed Meeting, Big Tech Reporting and Nonfarm Payrolls

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures rose by 0.3% to 6,414 points this week, slightly retreating from 6,423, a new all-time high. Trading opened with a price gap from 6,394 points, suggesting a pullback to this level may occur in the coming days. This week is exceptionally packed with news, arguably the most intense week of the summer. U.S. President Donald Trump added even further fuel to the market by announcing a trade deal with the EU after meeting with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, sending markets higher on Monday. The U.S.

25.07.2025 11:07

Weekly Summary: New Records Ahead of the Fed Meeting

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 futures climbed 1.2% to 6,368 points this week, marking four new all-time highs. The current peak stands at 6,385, and momentum suggests further upside is possible, with the 6,450 level now in play. The rally was fuelled by a string of supportive developments. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly backed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, while President Donald Trump announced a “big deal” with Japan.